Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Primeiro de MaioSão Bernardo vs Criciuma prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: São Bernardo 1.0 – 1.1 Criciuma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates São Bernardo and Criciuma on our numbers – 34% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
São Bernardo have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Criciuma have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.0 for São Bernardo, 1.1 for Criciuma). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, São Bernardo have won 0, Criciuma have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Criciuma to win ✓ | 40% | 2.51 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.21 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Criciuma / FT Criciuma ✓ | 21% | 4.65 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 13% | 7.74 | – |
Form
São Bernardo – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Juventude | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Oct | @ Sport Recife | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs CRB | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Sep | @ Novorizontino | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Atletico Goianiense | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | @ America Mineiro | 2–0 | W |
Criciuma – last 6
| 12 Oct | vs America Mineiro | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Oct | @ Ceara | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Londrina | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Avai | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | vs Operario-PR | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Atletico Goianiense | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
| 27 Jun 2026 | Criciuma v São Bernardo | 1–0 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Criciuma?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win São Bernardo vs Criciuma?
On our numbers São Bernardo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Criciuma 40%.
How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Criciuma?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is São Bernardo vs Criciuma?
São Bernardo vs Criciuma (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Primeiro de Maio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.