Serie B · Brazil · RessacadaAvai vs Athletic Club prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Athletic Club to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Avai 1.2 – 1.1 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Avai and Athletic Club on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Avai have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Athletic Club have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Avai, 1.1 for Athletic Club). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Avai have won 0, Athletic Club have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.00 is better than our fair price of 1.93, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Athletic Club to win at 3.30 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Avai to win ✗ | 39% | 2.55 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | 2.00 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Avai / FT Avai ✗ | 22% | 4.59 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.60 | – |
Form
Avai – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Cuiaba | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Londrina | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Ceara | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Criciuma | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Goias | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Vila Nova | 1–1 | D |
Athletic Club – last 6
| 13 Oct | vs Londrina | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Oct | @ Goias | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Sport Recife | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Fortaleza EC | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Botafogo SP | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Juventude | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 28 Jun 2026 | Athletic Club v Avai | 1–0 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Avai vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Avai vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Avai have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Athletic Club 35%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Avai vs Athletic Club?
Avai vs Athletic Club (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Ressacada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.