Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Fortaleza EC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFortaleza EC to win ✗65% · @1.85
Double chanceFortaleza EC or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.62
Fortaleza EC vs CRB preview and prediction
The match
CRB travel to Estadio Castelão in the Serie B on Monday 12 October (20:00 WAT) to face Fortaleza EC. Fortaleza EC are 5th with 62 points from 37 games (in the top half), while CRB sit 6th on 58 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Fortaleza EC's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat America Mineiro 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
CRB's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Atletico Goianiense 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Fortaleza EC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished CRB 1–1 Fortaleza EC. Across their last 3 meetings Fortaleza EC have won 1, CRB 0, with 2 draws and 1.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Fortaleza EC and 0.7 for CRB. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fortaleza EC 65%, draw 21%, CRB 14%.
Safer route: Fortaleza EC or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Fortaleza EC to win at 1.85 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fortaleza EC or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fortaleza EC 1–0 CRB. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortaleza EC65%fair 1.55 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
CRB14%fair 6.93 · @3.90
2.47Expected goals
1.79Fortaleza EC xG
0.68CRB xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.8 – 0.7 CRB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Fortaleza EC or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CRB 14%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 1–0 CRB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
Fortaleza EC vs CRB (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Castelão.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
