Serie B · Brazil · Dr. Jorge Ismael de BiaseNovorizontino vs Ponte Preta prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Novorizontino 2.2 – 0.4 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Novorizontino are clear favourites at home with a 80% chance of winning, against 7% for Ponte Preta.
Novorizontino have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.7 per game. Ponte Preta have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.2 scored and 2.3 conceded. Novorizontino come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (2.2 for Novorizontino, 0.4 for Ponte Preta). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (18%), 1–0 (16%), 3–0 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Novorizontino have won 1, Ponte Preta have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.91.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Novorizontino to win ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.07 |
| Double chance | Novorizontino or draw ✓ | 93% | 1.07 | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Half-time result | Novorizontino ahead at half-time ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.55 | – |
Form
Novorizontino – last 6
| 8 Oct | @ Nautico Recife | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs Goias | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Sep | vs São Bernardo | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Ceara | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Cuiaba | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | @ Botafogo SP | 3–1 | W |
Ponte Preta – last 6
| 7 Oct | vs Juventude | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Cuiaba | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ Botafogo SP | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs CRB | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Londrina | 0–6 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Sport Recife | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 23 Jun 2026 | Ponte Preta v Novorizontino | 0–2 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Ponte Preta 7%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?
Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.