Serie B · Brazil · Arena PantanalCuiaba vs Avai prediction & analysis
Cuiaba to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cuiaba 1.5 – 0.6 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cuiaba are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 17% for Avai.
Cuiaba have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Avai have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. Cuiaba come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.5 for Cuiaba, 0.6 for Avai). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (14%), 0–0 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Cuiaba have won 0, Avai have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Cuiaba to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cuiaba to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Cuiaba or draw ✗ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.94 | 2.05 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cuiaba / FT Cuiaba ✗ | 36% | 2.80 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.30 | – |
Form
Cuiaba – last 6
| 8 Oct | @ Vila Nova | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Ponte Preta | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ CRB | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Nautico Recife | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Novorizontino | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | vs Athletic Club | 3–0 | W |
Avai – last 6
| 7 Oct | vs Londrina | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Ceara | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Criciuma | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Goias | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Vila Nova | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | @ Fortaleza EC | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 21 Jun 2026 | Avai v Cuiaba | 1–0 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cuiaba vs Avai?
Our pick is Cuiaba to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Cuiaba vs Avai?
On our numbers Cuiaba have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Avai 17%.
How many goals will there be in Cuiaba vs Avai?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Cuiaba vs Avai?
Cuiaba vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.