Value bet: Londrina to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAvai to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.39
Avai vs Londrina preview and prediction
The match
Londrina travel to Estádio da Ressacada in the Serie B on Wednesday 7 October (23:30 WAT) to face Avai. Avai are 17th with 40 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Londrina sit 18th on 32 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Avai's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Ceara 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Londrina's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Criciuma 0–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Londrina arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 June 2026, finished Londrina 3–2 Avai.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Avai and 1.2 for Londrina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Avai 40%, draw 25%, Londrina 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Londrina to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Avai 1–1 Londrina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avai40%fair 2.48 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Londrina34%fair 2.91 · @3.50
2.52Expected goals
1.32Avai xG
1.20Londrina xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Avai 1.3 – 1.2 Londrina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Avai vs Londrina?
On our numbers Avai have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Londrina 34%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs Londrina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avai vs Londrina?
Our predicted score is Avai 1–1 Londrina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Avai vs Londrina?
Avai vs Londrina (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Ressacada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
