Serie B · Brazil · Moisés LucarelliPonte Preta vs Juventude prediction & analysis
Juventude to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ponte Preta 0.5 – 1.7 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Juventude travel as clear favourites – 70% to win, against 10% for Ponte Preta.
Ponte Preta have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.2 and conceding 2.3 per game. Juventude have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. Juventude come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (0.5 for Ponte Preta, 1.7 for Juventude). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (19%), 0–2 (17%), 0–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Ponte Preta have won 0, Juventude have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Juventude to win at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.43.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Juventude to win ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.30 |
| Double chance | Juventude or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.12 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Half-time result | Juventude ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Juventude / FT Juventude ✓ | 44% | 2.30 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 19% | 5.23 | – |
Form
Ponte Preta – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Cuiaba | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ Botafogo SP | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs CRB | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Londrina | 0–6 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Sport Recife | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs São Bernardo | 0–2 | L |
Juventude – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Operario-PR | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | @ America Mineiro | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Sport Recife | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Athletic Club | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Sep | @ Criciuma | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Atletico Goianiense | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 14 Jun 2026 | Juventude v Ponte Preta | 3–0 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs Juventude?
Our pick is Juventude to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Juventude?
On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Juventude 70%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs Juventude?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Ponte Preta vs Juventude?
Ponte Preta vs Juventude (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 01:35 (West Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.