Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Goias to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGoias to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceGoias or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.78
Goias vs Avai preview and prediction
The match
Goias host Avai in the Serie B on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estádio da Serrinha. Goias are 7th with 58 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Avai sit 17th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Goias's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Botafogo SP 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Avai's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Vila Nova 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Avai 0–2 Goias.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Goias and 0.6 for Avai. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Goias 64%, draw 23%, Avai 13%.
Safer route: Goias or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Goias to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Goias or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Goias 1–0 Avai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Goias64%fair 1.56 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Avai13%fair 7.59 · @4.20
2.27Expected goals
1.67Goias xG
0.60Avai xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–010%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Goias 1.7 – 0.6 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Goias or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Goias vs Avai?
On our numbers Goias have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Avai 13%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Avai?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goias vs Avai?
Our predicted score is Goias 1–0 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Goias vs Avai?
Goias vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
