Value bet: Fortaleza EC to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFortaleza EC to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.09
Londrina vs Fortaleza EC preview and prediction
The match
Londrina host Fortaleza EC in the Serie B on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias. Londrina are 18th with 32 points from 37 games (in the bottom three), while Fortaleza EC sit 5th on 62 points (in the top half). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Londrina's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Ponte Preta 6–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fortaleza EC's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Ceara 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fortaleza EC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Londrina and 1.3 for Fortaleza EC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Fortaleza EC to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Londrina 1–1 Fortaleza EC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Londrina32%fair 3.09 · @2.88
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.80
Fortaleza EC44%fair 2.30 · @2.50
2.34Expected goals
1.06Londrina xG
1.28Fortaleza EC xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Londrina 1.1 – 1.3 Fortaleza EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortaleza EC to win✓
44%
2.30
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortaleza EC / FT Fortaleza EC✓
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.09
–
Form
Londrina – last 6
WWLDLD
15 Sep
vs Ponte Preta
6–0
W
10 Sep
@ São Bernardo
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
1 Sep
vs Juventude
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Ceara
1–2
L
18 Aug
vs Atletico Goianiense
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fortaleza EC – last 6
DWWDWD
13 Sep
vs Ceara
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Avai
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Goias
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Operario-PR
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Criciuma
2–0
W
19 Aug
vs São Bernardo
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Londrina and Fortaleza EC.
What is the prediction for Londrina vs Fortaleza EC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Londrina vs Fortaleza EC?
On our numbers Londrina have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fortaleza EC 44%.
How many goals will there be in Londrina vs Fortaleza EC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Londrina vs Fortaleza EC?
Our predicted score is Londrina 1–1 Fortaleza EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Londrina vs Fortaleza EC?
Londrina vs Fortaleza EC (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
