Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP preview and prediction
The match
Botafogo SP travel to Estadio dos Aflitos in the Serie B on Friday 4 September (00:00 WAT) to face Nautico Recife. Nautico Recife are 15th with 46 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Botafogo SP sit 12th on 51 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Nautico Recife's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Athletic Club 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Botafogo SP's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Cuiaba 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nautico Recife arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Nautico Recife and 1.0 for Botafogo SP. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Nautico Recife 1–0 Botafogo SP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nautico Recife50%fair 1.98 · @1.96
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Botafogo SP28%fair 3.59 · @3.85
2.38Expected goals
1.43Nautico Recife xG
0.96Botafogo SP xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
2–09%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Nautico Recife 1.4 – 1.0 Botafogo SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nautico Recife to win✓
50%
1.98
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nautico Recife / FT Nautico Recife✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.60
–
Form
Nautico Recife – last 6
WDWDDD
29 Aug
vs Athletic Club
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ São Bernardo
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs Ceara
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Ponte Preta
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Criciuma
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Botafogo SP – last 6
LLDWWL
29 Aug
vs Cuiaba
1–2
L
25 Aug
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–3
L
20 Aug
vs Criciuma
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs America Mineiro
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Fortaleza EC
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nautico Recife and Botafogo SP.
What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP?
On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botafogo SP 28%.
How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP?
Our predicted score is Nautico Recife 1–0 Botafogo SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP?
Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio dos Aflitos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
