Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Heriberto HülseCriciuma vs Cuiaba prediction & analysis
Criciuma or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Criciuma to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Criciuma 1.3 – 0.6 Cuiaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Criciuma hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 18% for Cuiaba.
Criciuma have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Cuiaba have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. Cuiaba come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.9 goals (1.3 for Criciuma, 0.6 for Cuiaba). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 0–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%).
Our pick is Criciuma or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.22. For a bigger price, Criciuma to win at 1.90 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Criciuma to win ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Criciuma or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.18 | 1.15 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.02 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Criciuma / FT Criciuma ✓ | 33% | 3.07 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.16 | – |
Form
Criciuma – last 6
| 30 Aug | @ CRB | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Fortaleza EC | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Aug | @ Botafogo SP | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Goias | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Athletic Club | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | vs Nautico Recife | 0–0 | D |
Cuiaba – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Botafogo SP | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Goias | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Aug | vs Operario-PR | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Ceara | 3–1 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs Fortaleza EC | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Jul | @ Sport Recife | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Criciuma and Cuiaba.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Criciuma vs Cuiaba?
Our pick is Criciuma or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Criciuma vs Cuiaba?
On our numbers Criciuma have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cuiaba 18%.
How many goals will there be in Criciuma vs Cuiaba?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Criciuma vs Cuiaba?
Criciuma vs Cuiaba (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heriberto Hülse.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.