Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Criciuma to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovorizontino to win ✗43% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.63
Novorizontino vs Criciuma preview and prediction
The match
Criciuma travel to Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi in the Serie B on Tuesday 21 July (23:30 WAT) to face Novorizontino. Novorizontino are 1st with 70 points from 37 games (top of the table), while Criciuma sit 4th on 62 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Novorizontino's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Fortaleza EC 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Criciuma's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Vila Nova 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Criciuma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Novorizontino and 1.0 for Criciuma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Criciuma to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Novorizontino 1–1 Criciuma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novorizontino43%fair 2.35 · @2.24
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.05
Criciuma34%fair 2.94 · @3.40
2.21Expected goals
1.19Novorizontino xG
1.02Criciuma xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.2 – 1.0 Criciuma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino to win✗
43%
2.35
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.63
–
Form
Novorizontino – last 6
LLWWWD
18 Jul
@ Fortaleza EC
0–1
L
12 Jul
@ Operario-PR
1–2
L
4 Jul
vs Atletico Goianiense
3–0
W
26 Jun
vs Vila Nova
2–1
W
23 Jun
@ Ponte Preta
2–0
W
14 Jun
vs Nautico Recife
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Criciuma – last 6
WWWWWD
18 Jul
vs Vila Nova
2–0
W
9 Jul
@ Ponte Preta
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Sport Recife
1–0
W
27 Jun
vs São Bernardo
1–0
W
24 Jun
@ America Mineiro
1–0
W
16 Jun
vs Ceara
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novorizontino and Criciuma.
What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs Criciuma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Criciuma?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Criciuma 34%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Criciuma?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs Criciuma?
Our predicted score is Novorizontino 1–1 Criciuma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Novorizontino vs Criciuma?
Novorizontino vs Criciuma (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
