Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: America Mineiro to win @ 3.55 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAvai to win ✓47% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.50
Avai vs America Mineiro preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Avai take on America Mineiro on Tuesday 21 July, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estádio da Ressacada. Avai are 17th with 40 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while America Mineiro sit 19th on 29 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Avai's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with São Bernardo 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
America Mineiro's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Ceara 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Avai and 1.0 for America Mineiro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Avai 47%, draw 22%, America Mineiro 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Value angle: America Mineiro to win at 3.55 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Avai 1–1 America Mineiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avai47%fair 2.12 · @2.12
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.20
America Mineiro31%fair 3.28 · @3.55
2.36Expected goals
1.35Avai xG
1.01America Mineiro xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Avai 1.4 – 1.0 America Mineiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avai to win✓
47%
2.12
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avai / FT Avai✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.50
–
Form
Avai – last 6
DWLLWL
17 Jul
@ São Bernardo
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs Nautico Recife
2–0
W
6 Jul
@ Botafogo SP
1–3
L
28 Jun
@ Athletic Club
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Cuiaba
1–0
W
16 Jun
@ Londrina
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
America Mineiro – last 6
DDLLLW
17 Jul
vs Ceara
1–1
D
13 Jul
vs Londrina
1–1
D
3 Jul
@ Cuiaba
0–1
L
27 Jun
@ Operario-PR
0–1
L
24 Jun
vs Criciuma
0–1
L
17 Jun
@ Fortaleza EC
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avai and America Mineiro.
What is the prediction for Avai vs America Mineiro?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Avai vs America Mineiro?
On our numbers Avai have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and America Mineiro 31%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs America Mineiro?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avai vs America Mineiro?
Our predicted score is Avai 1–1 America Mineiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Avai vs America Mineiro?
Avai vs America Mineiro (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Ressacada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
