Value bet: CRB to win @ 3.45 – our chance 37% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeara to win ✗39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Ceara vs CRB preview and prediction
The match
Ceara host CRB in the Serie B on Wednesday 22 July, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo. Ceara are 16th with 43 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while CRB sit 6th on 58 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ceara's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with America Mineiro 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
CRB's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Nautico Recife 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
CRB arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Ceara and 1.3 for CRB. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ceara 39%, draw 24%, CRB 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: CRB to win at 3.45 – 37% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ceara 1–1 CRB. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ceara39%fair 2.58 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.25
CRB37%fair 2.69 · @3.45
2.58Expected goals
1.31Ceara xG
1.27CRB xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ceara 1.3 – 1.3 CRB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ceara to win✗
39%
2.58
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ceara / FT Ceara✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Ceara – last 6
DDLLLD
17 Jul
@ America Mineiro
1–1
D
14 Jul
vs Athletic Club
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ Goias
0–2
L
28 Jun
@ Juventude
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Botafogo SP
0–1
L
16 Jun
@ Criciuma
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
CRB – last 6
WDLWDD
17 Jul
vs Nautico Recife
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs Goias
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ Londrina
0–5
L
1 Jul
@ Botafogo SP
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Fortaleza EC
1–1
D
12 Jun
@ Atletico Goianiense
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ceara and CRB.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ceara vs CRB?
On our numbers Ceara have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CRB 37%.
How many goals will there be in Ceara vs CRB?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceara vs CRB?
Our predicted score is Ceara 1–1 CRB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ceara vs CRB?
Ceara vs CRB (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
