Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Novorizontino or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovorizontino to win ✓58% · @1.90
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.23
Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Goianiense travel to Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi in the Serie B on Saturday 4 July (20:00 WAT) to face Novorizontino. Novorizontino are 1st with 70 points from 37 games (top of the table), while Atletico Goianiense sit 8th on 58 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Novorizontino's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Vila Nova 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Atletico Goianiense's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Ponte Preta 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Novorizontino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Novorizontino and 0.8 for Atletico Goianiense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Novorizontino to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Novorizontino or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Novorizontino 1–0 Atletico Goianiense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novorizontino58%fair 1.71 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Atletico Goianiense20%fair 5.04 · @4.10
2.48Expected goals
1.66Novorizontino xG
0.83Atletico Goianiense xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.7 – 0.8 Atletico Goianiense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino to win✓
58%
1.71
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Novorizontino or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.23
–
Form
Novorizontino – last 6
WWDWDD
26 Jun
vs Vila Nova
2–1
W
23 Jun
@ Ponte Preta
2–0
W
14 Jun
vs Nautico Recife
2–2
D
11 Jun
@ Goias
4–0
W
31 May
@ São Bernardo
1–1
D
27 May
@ Chapecoense-sc
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atletico Goianiense – last 6
WDDWDL
28 Jun
vs Ponte Preta
2–0
W
19 Jun
@ Sport Recife
1–1
D
12 Jun
vs CRB
3–3
D
9 Jun
@ America Mineiro
2–1
W
30 May
vs Goias
1–1
D
24 May
vs São Bernardo
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novorizontino and Atletico Goianiense.
What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our pick is Novorizontino or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Goianiense 20%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our predicted score is Novorizontino 1–0 Atletico Goianiense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense?
Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
