Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Fortaleza EC take on Ponte Preta on Friday 3 July, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT). Fortaleza EC are 5th with 62 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Ponte Preta sit 20th on 15 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 47 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fortaleza EC's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Sport Recife 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ponte Preta's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Atletico Goianiense 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Fortaleza EC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Fortaleza EC and 0.7 for Ponte Preta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fortaleza EC 2–0 Ponte Preta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortaleza EC66%fair 1.51 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.75
Ponte Preta11%fair 8.86 · @11.00
2.63Expected goals
1.95Fortaleza EC xG
0.69Ponte Preta xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.9 – 0.7 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortaleza EC to win✓
66%
1.51
1.30
Double chance
Fortaleza EC or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.42
Half-time result
Fortaleza EC ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortaleza EC / FT Fortaleza EC✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.15
–
Form
Fortaleza EC – last 6
WDLWLL
28 Jun
vs Sport Recife
2–1
W
21 Jun
@ CRB
1–1
D
17 Jun
vs America Mineiro
0–3
L
9 Jun
@ Nautico Recife
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ Vitoria
1–2
L
3 Jun
vs Vitoria
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ponte Preta – last 6
LLLLDL
28 Jun
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–2
L
23 Jun
vs Novorizontino
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ Juventude
0–3
L
9 Jun
vs Cuiaba
1–2
L
1 Jun
vs Botafogo SP
0–0
D
24 May
@ CRB
2–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortaleza EC and Ponte Preta.
What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta?
On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ponte Preta 11%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 2–0 Ponte Preta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta?
Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
