Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.84 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.84Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCuiaba to win ✓65% · @1.84
Double chanceCuiaba or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.06
Cuiaba vs America Mineiro preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Cuiaba take on America Mineiro on Friday 3 July, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Arena Pantanal. Cuiaba are 13th with 47 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while America Mineiro sit 19th on 29 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cuiaba's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Londrina 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
America Mineiro's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Operario-PR 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cuiaba arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Cuiaba and 0.5 for America Mineiro. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cuiaba 65%, draw 21%, America Mineiro 14%.
Safer route: Cuiaba or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cuiaba to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.84, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cuiaba 1–0 America Mineiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cuiaba65%fair 1.55 · @1.84
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.20
America Mineiro14%fair 6.95 · @4.70
2.05Expected goals
1.53Cuiaba xG
0.52America Mineiro xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Cuiaba 1.5 – 0.5 America Mineiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cuiaba to win✓
65%
1.55
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Cuiaba or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cuiaba / FT Cuiaba✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
20%
5.06
–
Form
Cuiaba – last 6
DLWWWL
26 Jun
vs Londrina
2–2
D
21 Jun
@ Avai
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Vila Nova
1–0
W
9 Jun
@ Ponte Preta
2–1
W
1 Jun
vs CRB
2–0
W
22 May
@ Nautico Recife
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
America Mineiro – last 6
LLWLLL
27 Jun
@ Operario-PR
0–1
L
24 Jun
vs Criciuma
0–1
L
17 Jun
@ Fortaleza EC
3–0
W
9 Jun
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–2
L
30 May
@ Juventude
0–3
L
24 May
vs Vila Nova
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cuiaba and America Mineiro.
What is the prediction for Cuiaba vs America Mineiro?
Our pick is Cuiaba to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.84.
Who will win Cuiaba vs America Mineiro?
On our numbers Cuiaba have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and America Mineiro 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cuiaba vs America Mineiro?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cuiaba vs America Mineiro?
Our predicted score is Cuiaba 1–0 America Mineiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cuiaba vs America Mineiro?
Cuiaba vs America Mineiro (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
