Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Juventude to win @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventude to win ✓53% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.09
Juventude vs Ceara preview and prediction
The match
Juventude host Ceara in the Serie B on Sunday 28 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi. Juventude are 2nd with 68 points from 37 games (in the top four), while Ceara sit 16th on 43 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Juventude's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat São Bernardo 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ceara's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Botafogo SP 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Juventude arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.3 for Juventude and 0.8 for Ceara. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juventude 53%, draw 23%, Ceara 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Juventude to win at 2.00 – 53% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Juventude 1–0 Ceara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventude53%fair 1.89 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.10
Ceara24%fair 4.09 · @3.95
2.09Expected goals
1.33Juventude xG
0.76Ceara xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Juventude 1.3 – 0.8 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventude to win✓
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventude / FT Juventude✓
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.09
–
Form
Juventude – last 6
WWLWLD
21 Jun
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Ponte Preta
3–0
W
6 Jun
@ Operario-PR
1–2
L
30 May
vs America Mineiro
3–0
W
24 May
vs Sport Recife
0–1
L
17 May
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ceara – last 6
LDWLWL
20 Jun
vs Botafogo SP
0–1
L
16 Jun
@ Criciuma
1–1
D
11 Jun
vs Avai
2–1
W
31 May
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
17 May
vs Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
7 May
@ Vitoria
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventude and Ceara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Juventude vs Ceara?
On our numbers Juventude have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ceara 24%.
How many goals will there be in Juventude vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventude vs Ceara?
Our predicted score is Juventude 1–0 Ceara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Juventude vs Ceara?
Juventude vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
