Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Athletic Club to win @ 1.94 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAthletic Club to win ✓59% · @1.94
Double chanceAthletic Club or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.41
Athletic Club vs Avai preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Athletic Club take on Avai on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). Athletic Club are 14th with 47 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Avai sit 17th on 40 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Athletic Club's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Londrina 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Avai's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Cuiaba 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Athletic Club and 0.7 for Avai. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Athletic Club 59%, draw 25%, Avai 16%.
Safer route: Athletic Club or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Athletic Club to win at 1.94 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Athletic Club or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Athletic Club 1–0 Avai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Athletic Club59%fair 1.71 · @1.94
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.30
Avai16%fair 6.12 · @4.00
2.34Expected goals
1.62Athletic Club xG
0.72Avai xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Athletic Club 1.6 – 0.7 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✓
59%
1.71
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Athletic Club or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.41
–
Form
Athletic Club – last 6
LDDWWD
20 Jun
@ Londrina
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Goias
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Sport Recife
1–1
D
30 May
vs Fortaleza EC
1–0
W
25 May
@ Botafogo SP
2–1
W
17 May
vs Juventude
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Avai – last 6
WLLWLW
21 Jun
vs Cuiaba
1–0
W
16 Jun
@ Londrina
2–3
L
11 Jun
@ Ceara
1–2
L
4 Jun
vs Chapecoense-sc
3–0
W
30 May
vs Criciuma
1–2
L
27 May
vs Volta Redonda
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club and Avai.
Our pick is Athletic Club or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Avai?
On our numbers Athletic Club have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Avai 16%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club vs Avai?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Avai?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club 1–0 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club vs Avai?
Athletic Club vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
