Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Ceara to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeara to win ✗60% · @1.90
Double chanceCeara or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.78
Ceara vs Botafogo SP preview and prediction
The match
Ceara host Botafogo SP in the Serie B on Saturday 20 June, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT). Ceara are 16th with 43 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Botafogo SP sit 12th on 51 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ceara's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Criciuma 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Botafogo SP's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Operario-PR 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ceara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Ceara and 0.6 for Botafogo SP. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: Ceara to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ceara or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ceara 1–0 Botafogo SP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ceara60%fair 1.68 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.25
Botafogo SP15%fair 6.83 · @4.20
2.20Expected goals
1.57Ceara xG
0.64Botafogo SP xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ceara 1.6 – 0.6 Botafogo SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ceara to win✗
60%
1.68
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Ceara or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ceara / FT Ceara✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.78
–
Form
Ceara – last 6
DWLWLW
16 Jun
@ Criciuma
1–1
D
11 Jun
vs Avai
2–1
W
31 May
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
17 May
vs Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
7 May
@ Vitoria
0–1
L
30 Apr
@ Maranhão
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Botafogo SP – last 6
WLDLLD
14 Jun
vs Operario-PR
2–1
W
9 Jun
@ Vila Nova
0–1
L
1 Jun
@ Ponte Preta
0–0
D
25 May
vs Athletic Club
1–2
L
10 May
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ Cuiaba
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ceara and Botafogo SP.
Our pick is Ceara or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ceara vs Botafogo SP?
On our numbers Ceara have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Botafogo SP 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Botafogo SP?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Botafogo SP?
Our predicted score is Ceara 1–0 Botafogo SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ceara vs Botafogo SP?
Ceara vs Botafogo SP (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
