Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVila Nova to win ✓51% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP preview and prediction
The match
Botafogo SP travel to Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga in the Serie B on Tuesday 9 June (00:00 WAT) to face Vila Nova. Vila Nova are 3rd with 66 points from 37 games (in the top four), while Botafogo SP sit 12th on 51 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vila Nova's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Londrina 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Botafogo SP's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Ponte Preta 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Vila Nova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.4 for Vila Nova and 0.9 for Botafogo SP. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vila Nova 51%, draw 22%, Botafogo SP 26%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Vila Nova 1–0 Botafogo SP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vila Nova51%fair 1.95 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Botafogo SP26%fair 3.80 · @3.95
2.28Expected goals
1.39Vila Nova xG
0.89Botafogo SP xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Vila Nova 1.4 – 0.9 Botafogo SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vila Nova to win✓
51%
1.95
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vila Nova / FT Vila Nova✓
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.36
–
Form
Vila Nova – last 6
WWWDWD
31 May
@ Londrina
1–0
W
24 May
@ America Mineiro
2–1
W
17 May
vs Avai
2–0
W
4 May
vs Athletic Club
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Araguaína
2–1
W
16 Apr
vs Capital Brasilia
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Botafogo SP – last 6
DLLDLL
1 Jun
@ Ponte Preta
0–0
D
25 May
vs Athletic Club
1–2
L
10 May
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ Cuiaba
1–1
D
11 Apr
@ Criciuma
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs São Bernardo
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vila Nova and Botafogo SP.
What is the prediction for Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
On our numbers Vila Nova have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botafogo SP 26%.
How many goals will there be in Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
Our predicted score is Vila Nova 1–0 Botafogo SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
