Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Criciuma to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventude to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.67
Juventude vs Criciuma preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Juventude take on Criciuma on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 01:15 (WAT) at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi. Juventude are 2nd with 68 points from 37 games (in the top four), while Criciuma sit 4th on 62 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Juventude's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Tombense 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Criciuma's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Fortaleza EC 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Juventude arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Juventude and 0.9 for Criciuma. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Value angle: Criciuma to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Juventude 1–0 Criciuma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventude44%fair 2.27 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.95
Criciuma32%fair 3.11 · @3.40
2.01Expected goals
1.12Juventude xG
0.89Criciuma xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–013%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Juventude 1.1 – 0.9 Criciuma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventude to win✗
44%
2.27
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventude / FT Juventude✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.67
–
Form
Juventude – last 6
WLWLWD
7 May
vs Tombense
2–1
W
1 May
@ Cianorte
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs Londrina
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Sao Paulo
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ CRB
1–0
W
16 Apr
vs Chapecoense-sc
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Criciuma – last 6
LWLDLW
20 Apr
@ Fortaleza EC
2–3
L
11 Apr
vs Botafogo SP
1–0
W
7 Apr
@ Goias
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Athletic Club
1–1
D
5 Mar
@ Camboriú
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Concórdia
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventude and Criciuma.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Juventude vs Criciuma?
On our numbers Juventude have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Criciuma 32%.
How many goals will there be in Juventude vs Criciuma?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventude vs Criciuma?
Our predicted score is Juventude 1–0 Criciuma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Juventude vs Criciuma?
Juventude vs Criciuma (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
