Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen preview and prediction
The match
The K3 League sees Changwon City take on Siheung Citizen on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT). Changwon City are 11th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Siheung Citizen sit 1st on 57 points (top of the table). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Changwon City's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Daejeon Korail 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Siheung Citizen's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Yangpyeong 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Siheung Citizen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Changwon City and 1.3 for Siheung Citizen. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Changwon City 28%, draw 24%, Siheung Citizen 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Changwon City 1–1 Siheung Citizen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Changwon City28%fair 3.56 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.80
Siheung Citizen48%fair 2.08 · @2.10
2.19Expected goals
0.89Changwon City xG
1.30Siheung Citizen xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Changwon City 0.9 – 1.3 Siheung Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Siheung Citizen to win✗
48%
2.08
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Siheung Citizen / FT Siheung Citizen✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.90
–
Form
Changwon City – last 6
LWDWLL
25 Apr
@ Daejeon Korail
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Gyeongju HNP
3–2
W
11 Apr
vs Busan Transportation
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Chuncheon
0–2
L
21 Mar
vs Yeoju Sejong
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Siheung Citizen – last 6
WWWWWW
26 Apr
vs Yangpyeong
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Pocheon
2–1
W
11 Apr
@ Daejeon Korail
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Gyeongju HNP
2–1
W
28 Mar
@ Busan Transportation
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Changwon City and Siheung Citizen.
What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen?
On our numbers Changwon City have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Siheung Citizen 48%.
How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen?
Our predicted score is Changwon City 1–1 Siheung Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen?
Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
