Busan Transportation vs Dangjin Citizen prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Busan Transportation to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBusan Transportation to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceBusan Transportation or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.63
Busan Transportation vs Dangjin Citizen preview and prediction
The match
Dangjin Citizen travel to Busan Gudeok Stadium in the K3 League on Saturday 2 May (06:00 WAT) to face Busan Transportation. Busan Transportation are 4th with 43 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Dangjin Citizen sit 6th on 38 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Busan Transportation's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Gangneung City 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dangjin Citizen's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Jeonbuk Motors II 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 6. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Busan Transportation and 0.7 for Dangjin Citizen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Busan Transportation or draw (88%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Busan Transportation to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Busan Transportation 1–0 Dangjin Citizen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Busan Transportation65%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.20
Dangjin Citizen12%fair 8.49 · @4.20
2.50Expected goals
1.84Busan Transportation xG
0.66Dangjin Citizen xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Busan Transportation 1.8 – 0.7 Dangjin Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan Transportation to win✓
65%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Busan Transportation or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Busan Transportation ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan Transportation / FT Busan Transportation✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.63
–
Form
Busan Transportation – last 6
WWDDLD
26 Apr
vs Gangneung City
4–0
W
19 Apr
vs Ulsan Citizen
3–0
W
11 Apr
@ Changwon City
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Yangpyeong
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Siheung Citizen
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Daejeon Korail
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dangjin Citizen – last 6
WWDWLL
25 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Chuncheon
1–0
W
11 Apr
@ Yeoju Sejong
2–2
D
4 Apr
@ Mokpo City
3–1
W
28 Mar
@ Pocheon
1–4
L
20 Mar
@ Gangneung City
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Busan Transportation and Dangjin Citizen.
What is the prediction for Busan Transportation vs Dangjin Citizen?
Our pick is Busan Transportation to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Busan Transportation vs Dangjin Citizen?
On our numbers Busan Transportation have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dangjin Citizen 12%.
How many goals will there be in Busan Transportation vs Dangjin Citizen?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busan Transportation vs Dangjin Citizen?
Our predicted score is Busan Transportation 1–0 Dangjin Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Busan Transportation vs Dangjin Citizen?
Busan Transportation vs Dangjin Citizen (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
