Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP preview and prediction
The match
Changwon City host Gyeongju HNP in the K3 League on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT). Changwon City are 11th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Gyeongju HNP sit 5th on 40 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Changwon City's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Busan Transportation 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gyeongju HNP's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Yangpyeong 4–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Changwon City and 1.3 for Gyeongju HNP. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Changwon City 34%, draw 26%, Gyeongju HNP 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Changwon City 1–1 Gyeongju HNP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Changwon City34%fair 2.97 · @2.88
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.80
Gyeongju HNP40%fair 2.47 · @2.38
2.42Expected goals
1.14Changwon City xG
1.28Gyeongju HNP xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Changwon City 1.1 – 1.3 Gyeongju HNP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gyeongju HNP to win✗
40%
2.47
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gyeongju HNP / FT Gyeongju HNP✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.78
–
Form
Changwon City – last 5
DWLLW
11 Apr
vs Busan Transportation
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Chuncheon
0–2
L
21 Mar
vs Yeoju Sejong
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Dangjin Citizen
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Gyeongju HNP – last 6
WLDLLW
11 Apr
vs Yangpyeong
4–0
W
4 Apr
@ Siheung Citizen
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs Daejeon Korail
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Pocheon
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Busan Transportation
2–3
L
7 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors II
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Changwon City and Gyeongju HNP.
What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP?
On our numbers Changwon City have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gyeongju HNP 40%.
How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP?
Our predicted score is Changwon City 1–1 Gyeongju HNP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP?
Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP (K3 League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
