Busan Transportation vs Ulsan Citizen preview and prediction
The match
Busan Transportation host Ulsan Citizen in the K3 League on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Busan Gudeok Stadium. Busan Transportation are 4th with 43 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Ulsan Citizen sit 9th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Busan Transportation's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Changwon City 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ulsan Citizen's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Jeonbuk Motors II 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Busan Transportation and 0.9 for Ulsan Citizen. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Busan Transportation 1–1 Ulsan Citizen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Busan Transportation41%fair 2.46 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.75
Ulsan Citizen33%fair 2.99 · @3.10
2.00Expected goals
1.07Busan Transportation xG
0.93Ulsan Citizen xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Busan Transportation 1.1 – 0.9 Ulsan Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan Transportation to win✓
41%
2.46
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.91
–
Form
Busan Transportation – last 6
DDLDWW
11 Apr
@ Changwon City
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Yangpyeong
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Siheung Citizen
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Daejeon Korail
0–0
D
14 Mar
@ Gyeongju HNP
3–2
W
7 Mar
vs Pocheon
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ulsan Citizen – last 6
DWLWLW
12 Apr
vs Jeonbuk Motors II
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Chuncheon
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Yeoju Sejong
1–2
L
21 Mar
@ Mokpo City
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Dangjin Citizen
1–2
L
7 Mar
@ Gangneung City
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Busan Transportation and Ulsan Citizen.
What is the prediction for Busan Transportation vs Ulsan Citizen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Busan Transportation vs Ulsan Citizen?
On our numbers Busan Transportation have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ulsan Citizen 33%.
How many goals will there be in Busan Transportation vs Ulsan Citizen?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busan Transportation vs Ulsan Citizen?
Our predicted score is Busan Transportation 1–1 Ulsan Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Busan Transportation vs Ulsan Citizen?
Busan Transportation vs Ulsan Citizen (K3 League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
