Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Tartu Welco take on Nõmme United II on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT) at Holm Jalgpallipark. Tartu Welco are 1st with 80 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Nõmme United II sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 40 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tartu Welco's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat FC Tallinn 7–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nõmme United II's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to FCI Levadia II 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Tartu Welco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Nõmme United II 2–1 Tartu Welco. Across their last 3 meetings Tartu Welco have won 2, Nõmme United II 1, with 0 draws and 4.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.7 for Tartu Welco and 1.2 for Nõmme United II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tartu Welco 71%, draw 11%, Nõmme United II 17%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tartu Welco to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Tartu Welco 2–1 Nõmme United II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tartu Welco71%fair 1.40 · @1.36
Draw11%fair 8.85 · @5.31
Nõmme United II17%fair 5.74 · @4.89
3.87Expected goals
2.67Tartu Welco xG
1.20Nõmme United II xG
55%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 2.7 – 1.2 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Tartu Welco to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Nõmme United II 17%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 2–1 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
