Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultElva to win ✗62% · @1.50
Double chanceElva or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Nõmme Kalju II take on Elva on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT) at Hiiu Stadium. Nõmme Kalju II are 10th with 24 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Elva sit 4th on 55 points (in the top four). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme Kalju II's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to FCI Levadia II 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Elva's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Tartu Welco 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Elva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Elva 1–0 Nõmme Kalju II. Across their last 3 meetings Nõmme Kalju II have won 1, Elva 1, with 1 draw and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.1 for Nõmme Kalju II and 2.3 for Elva. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme Kalju II 16%, draw 22%, Elva 62%.
Safer route: Elva or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Elva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme Kalju II16%fair 6.18 · @4.50
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.20
Elva62%fair 1.62 · @1.50
3.44Expected goals
1.15Nõmme Kalju II xG
2.29Elva xG
67%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–28%
1–18%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.1 – 2.3 Elva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?
On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Elva 62%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?
Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Elva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?
Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
