Tallinna Kalev travel to Maardu linnastaadion in the Esiliiga A on Sunday 13 September (10:30 WAT) to face Maardu. Maardu are 6th with 45 points from 33 games (in the bottom half), while Tallinna Kalev sit 7th on 41 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Maardu's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Nõmme United II 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Nõmme United II 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Maardu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 August 2026, finished Tallinna Kalev 1–3 Maardu. Across their last 3 meetings Maardu have won 1, Tallinna Kalev 0, with 2 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.1 for Maardu and 1.8 for Tallinna Kalev. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 75%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maardu 48%, draw 18%, Tallinna Kalev 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (75%) at 1.20.
Prediction
Our prediction: Over 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Maardu 2–1 Tallinna Kalev. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maardu48%fair 2.08 · @2.10
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @4.00
Tallinna Kalev34%fair 2.93 · @2.63
3.87Expected goals
2.11Maardu xG
1.76Tallinna Kalev xG
75%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Maardu 2.1 – 1.8 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers Maardu have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tallinna Kalev 34%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 75% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is Maardu 2–1 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev?
Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Maardu linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
