Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlora II to win ✗61% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Flora II vs Elva preview and prediction
The match
Elva travel to Sportland Arena in the Esiliiga A on Sunday 13 September (10:30 WAT) to face Flora II. Flora II are 5th with 52 points from 35 games (in the top half), while Elva sit 4th on 55 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Flora II's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Nõmme Kalju II 5–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Elva's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Viimsi 0–5 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 August 2026, finished Elva 0–0 Flora II. Across their last 3 meetings Flora II have won 2, Elva 0, with 1 draw and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.3 for Flora II and 1.3 for Elva. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Flora II 61%, draw 15%, Elva 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Flora II to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Flora II 2–1 Elva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flora II61%fair 1.63 · @1.83
Draw15%fair 6.69 · @3.60
Elva24%fair 4.19 · @3.30
3.64Expected goals
2.30Flora II xG
1.34Elva xG
70%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Flora II 2.3 – 1.3 Elva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Flora II to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Flora II vs Elva?
On our numbers Flora II have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Elva 24%.
How many goals will there be in Flora II vs Elva?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flora II vs Elva?
Our predicted score is Flora II 2–1 Elva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Flora II vs Elva?
Flora II vs Elva (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportland Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
