Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Nõmme United II take on Tallinna Kalev on Thursday 10 September, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT). Nõmme United II are 9th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Tallinna Kalev sit 7th on 41 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nõmme United II's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Maardu 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Tartu Welco 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tallinna Kalev arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Tallinna Kalev 3–1 Nõmme United II. Across their last 3 meetings Nõmme United II have won 0, Tallinna Kalev 2, with 1 draw and 5.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.8 for Nõmme United II and 2.0 for Tallinna Kalev. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 70%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme United II 37%, draw 17%, Tallinna Kalev 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Nõmme United II 1–1 Tallinna Kalev. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme United II37%fair 2.73 · @2.38
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @4.20
Tallinna Kalev46%fair 2.18 · @2.20
3.76Expected goals
1.76Nõmme United II xG
2.00Tallinna Kalev xG
70%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Nõmme United II 1.8 – 2.0 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers Nõmme United II have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Tallinna Kalev 46%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United II 1–1 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
