The Esiliiga A sees FC Tallinn take on Maardu on Thursday 10 September, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT). FC Tallinn are 8th with 41 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Maardu sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FC Tallinn's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Viimsi 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Maardu's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Nõmme United II 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Maardu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Maardu 1–0 FC Tallinn. Across their last 3 meetings FC Tallinn have won 0, Maardu 1, with 2 draws and 1.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.4 for FC Tallinn and 2.1 for Maardu. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 66%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Tallinn 26%, draw 18%, Maardu 56%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.33.
Prediction
Our prediction: Maardu to win – a 56% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Tallinn 1–2 Maardu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Tallinn26%fair 3.88 · @3.00
Draw18%fair 5.51 · @3.90
Maardu56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
3.52Expected goals
1.38FC Tallinn xG
2.14Maardu xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: FC Tallinn 1.4 – 2.1 Maardu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Maardu to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win FC Tallinn vs Maardu?
On our numbers FC Tallinn have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Maardu 56%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tallinn vs Maardu?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tallinn vs Maardu?
Our predicted score is FC Tallinn 1–2 Maardu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC Tallinn vs Maardu?
FC Tallinn vs Maardu (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
