Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaardu to win ✓59% · @1.70
Double chanceMaardu or draw ✓80% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.04
Maardu vs Nõmme United II preview and prediction
The match
Maardu host Nõmme United II in the Esiliiga A on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT) at Maardu linnastaadion. Maardu are 6th with 45 points from 33 games (in the bottom half), while Nõmme United II sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Maardu's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat FCI Levadia II 4–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Nõmme United II's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Elva 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Maardu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Maardu 2–1 Nõmme United II. Across their last 2 meetings Maardu have won 1, Nõmme United II 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.4 for Maardu and 1.4 for Nõmme United II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maardu 59%, draw 21%, Nõmme United II 20%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Maardu to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Maardu 2–1 Nõmme United II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maardu59%fair 1.69 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.93
Nõmme United II20%fair 5.11 · @3.21
3.79Expected goals
2.41Maardu xG
1.38Nõmme United II xG
59%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–05%
From our goals model: Maardu 2.4 – 1.4 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Maardu vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Maardu to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Maardu vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers Maardu have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nõmme United II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is Maardu 2–1 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs Nõmme United II?
Maardu vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Maardu linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
