Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Elva take on Nõmme Kalju II on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Nike Arena. Elva are 4th with 55 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Nõmme Kalju II sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Elva's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Nõmme United II 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nõmme Kalju II's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat FC Tallinn 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Elva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 July 2026, finished Nõmme Kalju II 2–2 Elva. Across their last 2 meetings Elva have won 0, Nõmme Kalju II 1, with 1 draw and 5.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.4 for Elva and 1.2 for Nõmme Kalju II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elva 64%, draw 17%, Nõmme Kalju II 19%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Elva 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elva64%fair 1.55 · @1.28
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @5.50
Nõmme Kalju II19%fair 5.30 · @6.50
3.63Expected goals
2.40Elva xG
1.22Nõmme Kalju II xG
53%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–18%
1–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Elva 2.4 – 1.2 Nõmme Kalju II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II?
On our numbers Elva have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Nõmme Kalju II 19%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our predicted score is Elva 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
