Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Viimsi to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultViimsi to win ✓41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.23
Tartu Welco vs Viimsi preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Tartu Welco take on Viimsi on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Holm Jalgpallipark. Tartu Welco are 1st with 80 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Viimsi sit 2nd on 61 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tartu Welco's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Nõmme Kalju II 4–2 away. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Viimsi's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Nõmme United II 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 July 2026, finished Tartu Welco 2–2 Viimsi. Across their last 2 meetings Tartu Welco have won 0, Viimsi 1, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Tartu Welco and 1.7 for Viimsi. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tartu Welco 40%, draw 20%, Viimsi 41%.
Value angle: Viimsi to win at 2.75 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Tartu Welco 1–2 Viimsi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tartu Welco40%fair 2.52 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.00
Viimsi41%fair 2.47 · @2.75
3.47Expected goals
1.72Tartu Welco xG
1.75Viimsi xG
56%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 1.7 – 1.7 Viimsi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs Viimsi?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Viimsi 41%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Viimsi?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Viimsi?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 1–2 Viimsi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs Viimsi?
Tartu Welco vs Viimsi (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
