Value bet: Flora II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlora II to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28
Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Flora II take on Tallinna Kalev on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT) at Sportland Arena. Flora II are 5th with 52 points from 35 games (in the top half), while Tallinna Kalev sit 7th on 41 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Flora II's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Elva 0–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Maardu 1–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished Flora II 3–1 Tallinna Kalev. Across their last 2 meetings Flora II have won 2, Tallinna Kalev 0, with 0 draws and 4.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.3 for Flora II and 1.5 for Tallinna Kalev. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 73% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Flora II 57%, draw 18%, Tallinna Kalev 25%.
Value angle: Flora II to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Flora II 2–1 Tallinna Kalev. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flora II57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
Draw18%fair 5.54 · @4.20
Tallinna Kalev25%fair 4.03 · @2.75
3.82Expected goals
2.33Flora II xG
1.49Tallinna Kalev xG
57%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Flora II 2.3 – 1.5 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers Flora II have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tallinna Kalev 25%.
How many goals will there be in Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is Flora II 2–1 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportland Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
