Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Tartu Welco to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTartu Welco to win ✗68% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco preview and prediction
The match
Tartu Welco travel to face Nõmme United II in the Esiliiga A on Saturday 1 August (17:00 WAT). Nõmme United II are 9th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Tartu Welco sit 1st on 80 points (top of the table). A gap of 40 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme United II's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Viimsi 0–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Tartu Welco's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Rumori Calcio II 1–5 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
Tartu Welco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Tartu Welco 5–2 Nõmme United II. Across their last 2 meetings Nõmme United II have won 0, Tartu Welco 2, with 0 draws and 5.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.3 for Nõmme United II and 2.7 for Tartu Welco. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme United II 17%, draw 15%, Tartu Welco 68%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tartu Welco to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nõmme United II 1–2 Tartu Welco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme United II17%fair 5.73 · @4.10
Draw15%fair 6.76 · @4.20
Tartu Welco68%fair 1.48 · @1.53
4.07Expected goals
1.34Nõmme United II xG
2.73Tartu Welco xG
58%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–26%
1–16%
0–36%
2–26%
From our goals model: Nõmme United II 1.3 – 2.7 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
Our pick is Tartu Welco to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Nõmme United II have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Tartu Welco 68%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United II 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
