Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.63
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.42
Nõmme Kalju II vs Maardu preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Nõmme Kalju II take on Maardu on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Hiiu Stadium. Nõmme Kalju II are 10th with 24 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Maardu sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme Kalju II's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Flora II 0–5 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Maardu's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Flora II 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Maardu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 June 2026, finished Maardu 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Across their last 2 meetings Nõmme Kalju II have won 1, Maardu 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.8 for Nõmme Kalju II and 2.2 for Maardu. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme Kalju II 33%, draw 17%, Maardu 50%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Maardu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme Kalju II33%fair 3.04 · @2.50
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @4.20
Maardu50%fair 2.01 · @2.10
3.99Expected goals
1.78Nõmme Kalju II xG
2.21Maardu xG
61%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.8 – 2.2 Maardu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Maardu?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs Maardu?
On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Maardu 50%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs Maardu?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs Maardu?
Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Maardu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Nõmme Kalju II vs Maardu?
Nõmme Kalju II vs Maardu (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
