Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II preview and prediction
The match
Nõmme United II travel to Holm Jalgpallipark in the Esiliiga A on Sunday 21 June (17:00 WAT) to face Tartu Welco. Tartu Welco are 1st with 80 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Nõmme United II sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 40 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tartu Welco's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat FCI Levadia II 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nõmme United II's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Tallinna Kalev 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Tartu Welco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Nõmme United II 1–3 Tartu Welco.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.7 for Tartu Welco and 1.4 for Nõmme United II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 77% and both teams to score at 71%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tartu Welco 64%, draw 18%, Nõmme United II 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.28.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Tartu Welco 2–1 Nõmme United II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tartu Welco64%fair 1.56 · @1.29
Draw18%fair 5.54 · @5.45
Nõmme United II18%fair 5.66 · @6.50
4.03Expected goals
2.65Tartu Welco xG
1.38Nõmme United II xG
71%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
1–16%
2–06%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 2.7 – 1.4 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Nõmme United II 18%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 2–1 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
