Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Tallinna Kalev to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.77Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTallinna Kalev to win ✓63% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Tallinna Kalev take on Nõmme Kalju II on Sunday 21 June, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT) at Kadrioru Staadion. Tallinna Kalev are 7th with 41 points from 35 games (in the bottom half), while Nõmme Kalju II sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Nõmme United II 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Nõmme Kalju II's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Maardu 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Nõmme Kalju II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 April 2026, finished Nõmme Kalju II 0–4 Tallinna Kalev.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.5 for Tallinna Kalev and 1.4 for Nõmme Kalju II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tallinna Kalev 63%, draw 16%, Nõmme Kalju II 21%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tallinna Kalev to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tallinna Kalev63%fair 1.59 · @1.77
Draw16%fair 6.28 · @3.95
Nõmme Kalju II21%fair 4.73 · @3.15
3.93Expected goals
2.52Tallinna Kalev xG
1.41Nõmme Kalju II xG
58%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 2.5 – 1.4 Nõmme Kalju II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our pick is Tallinna Kalev to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Nõmme Kalju II 21%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
