Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Viimsi to win @ 3.50 – our chance 50% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +75%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultViimsi to win ✓50% · @3.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Elva vs Viimsi preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Elva take on Viimsi on Thursday 18 June, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Tehvandi Staadion. Elva are 4th with 55 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Viimsi sit 2nd on 61 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Elva's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Maardu 4–3 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Viimsi's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to FCI Levadia II 0–2 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Viimsi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Elva 1–0 Viimsi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.4 for Elva and 1.8 for Viimsi. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elva 30%, draw 20%, Viimsi 50%.
Value angle: Viimsi to win at 3.50 – 50% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Elva 1–2 Viimsi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elva30%fair 3.30 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.00
Viimsi50%fair 2.00 · @3.50
3.18Expected goals
1.36Elva xG
1.82Viimsi xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Elva 1.4 – 1.8 Viimsi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Elva vs Viimsi?
On our numbers Elva have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Viimsi 50%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs Viimsi?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs Viimsi?
Our predicted score is Elva 1–2 Viimsi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Elva vs Viimsi?
Elva vs Viimsi (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tehvandi Staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
