Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaardu to win ✓64% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.03
Maardu vs Nõmme Kalju II preview and prediction
The match
Maardu host Nõmme Kalju II in the Esiliiga A on Thursday 18 June, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Maardu linnastaadion. Maardu are 6th with 45 points from 33 games (in the bottom half), while Nõmme Kalju II sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Maardu's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Elva 3–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Nõmme Kalju II's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Nõmme United II 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Nõmme Kalju II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Nõmme Kalju II 3–2 Maardu.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.4 for Maardu and 1.4 for Nõmme Kalju II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 73% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maardu 64%, draw 12%, Nõmme Kalju II 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Maardu to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Maardu 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maardu64%fair 1.56 · @1.83
Draw12%fair 8.69 · @4.00
Nõmme Kalju II24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
3.79Expected goals
2.42Maardu xG
1.37Nõmme Kalju II xG
68%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–05%
From our goals model: Maardu 2.4 – 1.4 Nõmme Kalju II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Maardu vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our pick is Maardu to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Maardu vs Nõmme Kalju II?
On our numbers Maardu have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Nõmme Kalju II 24%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs Nõmme Kalju II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our predicted score is Maardu 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Maardu vs Nõmme Kalju II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Maardu linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
