Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Tallinna Kalev to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTallinna Kalev to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.94
Elva vs Tallinna Kalev preview and prediction
The match
Elva host Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga A on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Nike Arena. Elva are 4th with 55 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Tallinna Kalev sit 7th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Elva's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat FC Tallinn 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with FC Tallinn 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Tallinna Kalev arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 April 2026, finished Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Elva.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Elva and 1.8 for Tallinna Kalev. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elva 37%, draw 20%, Tallinna Kalev 43%.
Value angle: Tallinna Kalev to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Elva 1–2 Tallinna Kalev. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elva37%fair 2.69 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.00
Tallinna Kalev43%fair 2.32 · @2.50
3.53Expected goals
1.69Elva xG
1.83Tallinna Kalev xG
57%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Elva 1.7 – 1.8 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers Elva have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tallinna Kalev 43%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is Elva 1–2 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?
Elva vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
