Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTartu Welco to win67% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 2.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.00
Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Tallinna Kalev take on Tartu Welco on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Kadrioru Staadion. Tallinna Kalev are 7th with 41 points from 35 games (in the bottom half), while Tartu Welco sit 1st on 80 points (top of the table). A gap of 39 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Nõmme United II 4–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Tartu Welco's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat FC Tallinn 2–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Tartu Welco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 March 2026, finished Tartu Welco 3–0 Tallinna Kalev.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 1.4 for Tallinna Kalev and 2.8 for Tartu Welco. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tallinna Kalev 19%, draw 14%, Tartu Welco 67%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Tartu Welco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tallinna Kalev19%fair 5.33 · @4.50
Draw14%fair 7.25 · @4.50
Tartu Welco67%fair 1.48 · @1.50
4.16Expected goals
1.40Tallinna Kalev xG
2.76Tartu Welco xG
56%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–38%
1–16%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 1.4 – 2.8 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Tartu Welco 67%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
