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Esiliiga A · Estonia · Sportland Arena
5–0
FT

Maardu

DLWDL

Flora II vs Maardu prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultFlora II to win ✓45% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.80

Flora II vs Maardu preview and prediction

The match

The Esiliiga A sees Flora II take on Maardu on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Sportland Arena. Flora II are 5th with 52 points from 35 games (in the top half), while Maardu sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Flora II's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Elva 3–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.

Maardu's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with FC Tallinn 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Flora II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Maardu 0–0 Flora II.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.1 for Flora II and 1.9 for Maardu. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Flora II 2–1 Maardu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Flora II45%fair 2.20 · @2.14
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.60
Maardu35%fair 2.82 · @2.55
3.98Expected goals
2.12Flora II xG
1.86Maardu xG
60%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%

From our goals model: Flora II 2.1 – 1.9 Maardu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFlora II to win ✓45%2.202.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.131.01
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.351.22
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓55%1.821.65
Half-time resultFlora II ahead at half-time ✓36%2.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Flora II / FT Flora II ✓28%3.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.80–

Form

Flora II – last 6

WWWWWL
23 Aprvs Elva3–2W
16 Apr@ Tallinna Kalev4–1W
10 Aprvs FC Tallinn5–0W
5 Apr@ FCI Levadia II3–1W
19 Marvs Nõmme Kalju II3–1W
6 Mar@ Viimsi1–2L
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Maardu – last 6

DLWDLL
23 Aprvs FC Tallinn1–1D
18 Apr@ Nõmme Kalju II2–3L
11 Aprvs FCI Levadia II3–2W
3 Aprvs Tallinna Kalev1–1D
12 Marvs Elva0–3L
8 Mar@ Nõmme United II1–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Maardu v Flora II0–0
Flora II vs Maardu head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flora II vs Maardu?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Flora II vs Maardu?

On our numbers Flora II have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Maardu 35%.

How many goals will there be in Flora II vs Maardu?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flora II vs Maardu?

Our predicted score is Flora II 2–1 Maardu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Flora II vs Maardu?

Flora II vs Maardu (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportland Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.