Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.31
Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Tallinna Kalev take on Nõmme United II on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT) at Kadrioru Staadion. Tallinna Kalev are 7th with 41 points from 35 games (in the bottom half), while Nõmme United II sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Nõmme Kalju II 4–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Nõmme United II's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Nõmme Kalju II 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Nõmme United II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.8 for Tallinna Kalev and 1.9 for Nõmme United II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tallinna Kalev 36%, draw 21%, Nõmme United II 43%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Nõmme United II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tallinna Kalev36%fair 2.77 · @2.48
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.65
Nõmme United II43%fair 2.33 · @2.18
3.73Expected goals
1.78Tallinna Kalev xG
1.95Nõmme United II xG
57%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 1.8 – 1.9 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nõmme United II to win✗
43%
2.33
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.01
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.21
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nõmme United II / FT Nõmme United II✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.31
–
Form
Tallinna Kalev – last 6
WLLWDL
27 Apr
@ Nõmme Kalju II
4–0
W
23 Apr
@ FCI Levadia II
2–3
L
16 Apr
vs Flora II
1–4
L
9 Apr
vs Elva
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Maardu
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Viimsi
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nõmme United II – last 6
LWWLWW
24 Apr
vs Nõmme Kalju II
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Elva
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Viimsi
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Tartu Welco
1–3
L
16 Mar
@ FCI Levadia II
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Maardu
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tallinna Kalev and Nõmme United II.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nõmme United II 43%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
