Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Tartu Welco to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTartu Welco to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco preview and prediction
The match
Tartu Welco travel to face Nõmme United II in the Esiliiga A on Friday 3 April (17:00 WAT). Nõmme United II are 9th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Tartu Welco sit 1st on 80 points (top of the table). A gap of 40 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme United II's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat FCI Levadia II 1–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.4 for Nõmme United II and 2.6 for Tartu Welco. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme United II 20%, draw 16%, Tartu Welco 64%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tartu Welco to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nõmme United II 1–2 Tartu Welco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme United II20%fair 4.99 · @3.20
Draw16%fair 6.40 · @4.20
Tartu Welco64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
4.00Expected goals
1.40Nõmme United II xG
2.60Tartu Welco xG
58%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%
From our goals model: Nõmme United II 1.4 – 2.6 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tartu Welco to win✓
64%
1.55
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Tartu Welco ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tartu Welco / FT Tartu Welco✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.54
–
Form
Nõmme United II – last 3
WWW
16 Mar
@ FCI Levadia II
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Maardu
4–1
W
14 Feb
@ Parnu JK Vaprus U21
4–3
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tartu Welco – last 2
LW
10 Mar
@ Vaprus
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Tallinna Kalev
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nõmme United II and Tartu Welco.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
Our pick is Tartu Welco to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Nõmme United II have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Tartu Welco 64%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United II 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
