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Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra

Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario prediction & analysis

80%
Footrivo pick

Leones del Norte or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Leones del Norte to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultLeones del Norte to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceLeones del Norte or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22

Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario preview and prediction

The match

The Liga Pro sees Leones del Norte take on Tecnico Universitario on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra. Leones del Norte are 9th with 47 points from 36 games, while Tecnico Universitario sit 15th on 37 points.

Form guide

Leones del Norte's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Tecnico Universitario's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to LDU de Quito 1–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Leones del Norte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Tecnico Universitario 2–1 Leones del Norte.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Leones del Norte and 0.7 for Tecnico Universitario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Leones del Norte or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Leones del Norte 1–0 Tecnico Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Leones del Norte59%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.00
Tecnico Universitario20%fair 5.10 · @4.00
2.26Expected goals
1.53Leones del Norte xG
0.73Tecnico Universitario xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.5 – 0.7 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeones del Norte to win ✗59%1.711.85 ▲
Double chanceLeones del Norte or draw ✗80%1.241.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.00
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leones del Norte / FT Leones del Norte ✗34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.22–

Form

Leones del Norte – last 6

DWLLWL
8 Sep@ Mushuc Runa SC1–1D
3 Sepvs Orense SC1–0W
31 Aug@ Emelec1–2L
22 Augvs Independiente del Valle2–3L
15 Aug@ Manta FC2–0W
8 Aug@ Aucas0–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tecnico Universitario – last 6

LLWLLL
5 Sepvs LDU de Quito1–3L
1 Sep@ Delfin SC0–1L
29 Augvs Deportivo Cuenca3–1W
22 Augvs Guayaquil City FC2–3L
16 Aug@ Emelec1–2L
10 Augvs Mushuc Runa SC0–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Tecnico Universitario v Leones del Norte2–1
Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our pick is Leones del Norte or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?

On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tecnico Universitario 20%.

How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 1–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?

Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.