Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Leones del Norte or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Leones del Norte to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceLeones del Norte or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Leones del Norte take on Tecnico Universitario on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra. Leones del Norte are 9th with 47 points from 36 games, while Tecnico Universitario sit 15th on 37 points.
Form guide
Leones del Norte's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Tecnico Universitario's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to LDU de Quito 1–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Leones del Norte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Tecnico Universitario 2–1 Leones del Norte.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Leones del Norte and 0.7 for Tecnico Universitario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leones del Norte 59%, draw 22%, Tecnico Universitario 20%.
Safer route: Leones del Norte or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Leones del Norte to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Leones del Norte or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Leones del Norte 1–0 Tecnico Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leones del Norte59%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.00
Tecnico Universitario20%fair 5.10 · @4.00
2.26Expected goals
1.53Leones del Norte xG
0.73Tecnico Universitario xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.5 – 0.7 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our pick is Leones del Norte or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tecnico Universitario 20%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 1–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?
Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.