Universidad Catolica vs Aucas prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Universidad Catolica or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Universidad Catolica to win @ 1.84 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✗58% · @1.84
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.40
Universidad Catolica vs Aucas preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Universidad Catolica take on Aucas on Thursday 3 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54 points from 36 games, while Aucas sit 5th on 54 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Universidad Catolica's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Independiente del Valle 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Aucas's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Libertad 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Universidad Catolica and 0.8 for Aucas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Universidad Catolica 58%, draw 22%, Aucas 20%.
Safer route: Universidad Catolica or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Universidad Catolica to win at 1.84 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Universidad Catolica or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Aucas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universidad Catolica58%fair 1.71 · @1.84
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.55
Aucas20%fair 5.04 · @4.10
2.52Expected goals
1.68Universidad Catolica xG
0.84Aucas xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.7 – 0.8 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
58%
1.71
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.40
–
Form
Universidad Catolica – last 6
DWDLLW
29 Aug
@ Independiente del Valle
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Manta FC
5–1
W
18 Aug
@ Macara
1–1
D
10 Aug
@ Libertad
1–2
L
5 Aug
vs Cuniburo
2–3
L
1 Aug
vs Tecnico Universitario
5–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Aucas – last 6
WLWLDW
30 Aug
vs Libertad
1–0
W
26 Aug
@ LDU de Quito
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Delfin SC
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs LDU de Quito
0–1
L
12 Aug
@ La Unión
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Leones del Norte
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Aucas.
What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
Our pick is Universidad Catolica or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aucas 20%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
Universidad Catolica vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
