Leones del Norte vs Orense SC prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Orense SC to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✓45% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.17
Leones del Norte vs Orense SC preview and prediction
The match
Leones del Norte host Orense SC in the Liga Pro on Thursday 3 September, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra. Leones del Norte are 9th with 47 points from 36 games, while Orense SC sit 13th on 39 points.
Form guide
Leones del Norte's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Emelec 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Orense SC's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Macara 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Orense SC 2–0 Leones del Norte.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Leones del Norte and 1.1 for Orense SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leones del Norte 45%, draw 22%, Orense SC 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Orense SC to win at 3.45 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Leones del Norte 1–1 Orense SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leones del Norte45%fair 2.25 · @2.14
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Orense SC33%fair 3.01 · @3.45
2.36Expected goals
1.29Leones del Norte xG
1.06Orense SC xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.3 – 1.1 Orense SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Orense SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Orense SC?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Orense SC 33%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Orense SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Orense SC?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 1–1 Orense SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs Orense SC?
Leones del Norte vs Orense SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
